Earnouts Explained: When They Help (and When to Run)
An earnout ties a portion of your sale proceeds to the future performance of the business after you've sold it. Buyers use them to bridge valuation gaps. Sellers accept them to close deals at higher headline prices. The devil is entirely in the details.
How Earnouts Work
In a typical earnout structure, the seller receives a base payment at closing — say, 70–80% of the agreed enterprise value — with the remaining 20–30% contingent on the business hitting agreed performance targets over 12–36 months post-close.
Why Buyers Propose Earnouts
The Core Risk: You Don't Control the Business
Once you sell the business, the buyer is making the decisions. If the earnout is tied to revenue or EBITDA, the buyer can legally make decisions that reduce your earnout — changing pricing, cutting marketing, pulling salespeople, or simply deprioritizing your former business within their larger portfolio.
Unless your purchase agreement has specific protective provisions, you may have limited recourse even if the buyer clearly undermined the earnout targets. This is the central risk sellers underestimate.
Studies consistently show that 50–60% of earnouts are not fully paid. The reason is usually not fraud — it's that the buyer makes different operational decisions post-close that happen to reduce performance against the earnout metrics. Without strong contractual protections, the seller bears this risk.
Seller-Protective Earnout Provisions
If you're accepting an earnout, negotiate hard for these provisions in the purchase agreement:
When to Accept an Earnout (and When to Push Back)
Consider accepting an earnout when: the valuation gap is meaningful but bridgeable, you'll stay involved in the business post-close (reducing sabotage risk), the earnout metric is based on revenue, the period is short (12–18 months), and you have strong operating covenants in the agreement.
Push back hard or walk away when: the earnout is more than 30% of total value, the metric is EBITDA or net income (easily manipulated), the buyer will have no operational covenants, the earnout period exceeds 24 months, or you have no role in the business post-close.
Negotiate from a position of strength
The best protection against a bad earnout is a competitive process with multiple buyers. Get matched with a broker who knows how to run one.
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